Війна і мир

Chapter 1

           

           Butthemindofmannotonlyrefusestobelievethisexplanation,butplainlysaysthatthismethodofexplanationisfallacious,becauseinitaweakerphenomenonistakenasthecauseofastronger.ThesumofhumanwillsproducedtheRevolutionandNapoleon,andonlythesumofthosewillsfirsttoleratedandthendestroyedthem.

           “Buteverytimetherehavebeenconqueststherehavebeenconquerors;everytimetherehasbeenarevolutioninanystatetherehavebeengreatmen,”sayshistory.And,indeed,humanreasonreplies:everytimeconquerorsappeartherehavebeenwars,butthisdoesnotprovethattheconquerorscausedthewarsandthatitispossibletofindthelawsofawarinthepersonalactivityofasingleman.WheneverIlookatmywatchanditshandspointtoten,Ihearthebellsoftheneighboringchurch;butbecausethebellsbegintoringwhenthehandsoftheclockreachten,Ihavenorighttoassumethatthemovementofthebellsiscausedbythepositionofthehandsofthewatch.

           WheneverIseethemovementofalocomotiveIhearthewhistleandseethevalvesopeningandwheelsturning;butIhavenorighttoconcludethatthewhistlingandtheturningofwheelsarethecauseofthemovementoftheengine.

           Thepeasantssaythatacoldwindblowsinlatespringbecausetheoaksarebudding,andreallyeveryspringcoldwindsdoblowwhentheoakisbudding

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